math

1)  A light bulb producing company states that its lights will last an average of 1200 hours with a standard deviation of 200 hours.  A sample of 100 light bulbs from the company were tested and the researcher found that the average life of each light bulb was 1050 hours.  At a 95% confidence level, determine whether these light bulbs are in compliance with the company’s claim.

2)  A company’s human resource department claims that all employees are present on the average 4 days out of the work week with a standard deviation of 1.  They hired an outside company to do an audit of their employees’ absences.  The company took a sample a 10 people and found that on the average the employees were present 3 days per week.  With a 95% confidence level, determine whether the company’s claim is true based on the data from the sample.

3)  A teacher claims that all of her students pass the state mandated test with an average of 90 with a standard deviation of  10.  The principal gave the test to 20 of her students to see if the teacher’s claim was true.  He found that the average score was 75.  With a 95% confidence level, determine whether the teacher is making the correct claim about all of her students.

4)  The lifeguard’s at a local pool have to be able to respond to a distressed swimmer at an average of 10 seconds with a standard deviation of 4 in order to be considered for employment.  If a sample of 100 lifeguards showed that their average response time is 15 seconds, with a confidence level of 95% determine whether this group may be considered for employment.

5)  It is believed that an average of  20 mg of iodine is in each antibiotic cream produced by a certain company with a standard deviation of 5 mg.  The company pulled 150 of its antibiotic creams and found that on the average each cream contained 29 mg of iodine.  Determine with a 95% confidence level whether or not these creams are in compliance with the company’s belief?

For questions 6 – 10 use the chi-squared distribution to test the hypothesis.

6)  A restaurant owner wants to see if the business is good enough for him to purchase a restaurant.  He asks the present owner for a breakdown of how many customers that come in for lunch each day and the results are as follows:  Monday – 20, Tuesday – 30, Wednesday – 25, Thursday – 40 and Friday – 55.  The prospective owner observes the restaurant and finds the following number of customers coming for lunch each day:  Monday- 30, Tuesday – 15, Wednesday- 7, Thursday 40, and Friday – 33.  At a 95% confidence level determine whether the present owner reported the correct number of customers for lunch each day.

7)  An employer polled its employers to see if they agree with the proposed new store hours and whether or not their present shift made a difference in their answers.  The customers answered 1 for agree, 2 for don’t know, and 3 for disagree.  Nine first shift employees answered “agree”, 15 second shift employees answered “agree”, and 20 third shift employees answered agree.  With a 95% confidence level determine whether or not the employees’ present shift played a role in their responses to the poll.

8)  A politician surveyed 100 citizens to determine if their job title had anything to do with the way they responded to the following statement:  “A city-wide curfew will be put into place.  Select the time that you think it should be put into place.  8pm, 9pm, or 10pm”.  He is mostly concerned with the 10 pm responses.  25 teachers chose 10pm, 40 doctors chose 10pm, and 35 police responded 10pm.  With a 95% confidence level, determine whether job title plays a role in how the citizens responded to the statement.

9)  A meter reader did an experiment to see if there is a relationship between the number of tickets she writes and the number of blocks she is away from the park that is considered the heart of the city.  At 0 blocks from the park she writes 35 tickets, at 1 block away from the park she writes 25 tickets, at 2 blocks from the park she writes 20 tickets and at 3 blocks from the park she writes 25 tickets.  Use a 95% confidence level.

10)  A high school principal asks his students to respond to the following statement:  “School should start at 9:00am rather than 7:00am.  Answer 1 for agree, 2 for don’t know, and 3 for disagree.”  There were 90 seniors who answered agree, 35 juniors, 30 sophomores, and 25 freshmen.  Help the principal decide with a 95% confidence level that the students’ status played a role in how they responded to the question.

Minitab

In an attempt to increase business on Monday nights, a restaurant offers a free dessert with every dinner order.  Before the offer, the mean number of dinner customers on Monday was 150.  The numbers of diners on a random sample of 12 days while the offer was in effect are selected.  Can you conclude that the mean number of diners increased while the free dessert offer was in effect?

 

What is (are) the parameter(s) of interest?

 

Construct a normal probability plot and a boxplot to visualize the distribution of your sample data.  Copy and paste these graphs into your assignment.  Below the graphs, answer the following questions.

Are there any major deviations from normality?  

Are there any outliers present?  

Is it appropriate to conduct statistical inference procedures, why or why not?

 

If the answer to part iii is no, do not complete the rest of #3.

 

At the 0.05 significance level, can you conclude that the mean number of diners increased from 150 while the free dessert offer was in effect?

State the null and alternative hypotheses.

State the significance level for this problem.

Calculate the test statistic.  

Calculate the P-value and include the probability notation statement.

State whether you reject or do not reject the null hypothesis.

State your conclusion in context of the problem (i.e. interpret your results).

 

Construct a 99% confidence interval for the above data.  Interpret the confidence interval.

 

 

 According to a report of the Nielsen Company, 65% of Internet searches used Google as the search engine.  Assume that a sample of 13 searches is studied.  Let the random variable  be the number of searches where Google was used.  

 

What is the name of the probability distribution of X?  Write out the setting (i.e. write out the four requirements of a particular setting that you learned in class).

Produce a table that lists the possible values of the random variable and the corresponding probabilities of each value’s occurrence.

What is the mean of this distribution?  Show work using the formula.

What is the standard deviation of this distribution?  Show work using the formula.

Calculate the probability that of the 13 searches analyzed, at least 8 of those searches used Google.  Display a Minitab Graph with the correct portion shaded as the answer to this question.  Then, verify your answer with using the table you displayed in part (b).

 

 

According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, 58.8% of males between 20 and 39 years old consume the minimum daily requirement of calcium.  After an aggressive “Got milk” advertising campaign, the USDA conducted a survey of 55 randomly selected males between the ages of 20 and 39 and finds that 36 of them consume the recommended daily allowance of calcium. 

 

If we conduct statistical inference above, what is (are) the parameter(s) of interest?

 

Construct a 96% confidence interval for the above data.  Interpret the confidence interval as we learned in class.  Show your work using the formulas.

 

Construct a 96% confidence interval for the above data using the Plus Four Estimate.  Interpret the confidence interval as we learned in class.  Show your work using the formulas.

At the 0.05 significance level, is there evidence to conclude that the percentage of males between the ages of 20 and 39 who consume the recommended daily allowance of calcium has increased?

State the null and alternative hypotheses.

State the significance level for this problem.

Check the conditions that allow you to use the test statistic, and, if appropriate, calculate the test statistic.

Calculate the P-value and include the probability notation statement.

State whether you reject or do not reject the null hypothesis.

State your conclusion in context of the problem (i.e. interpret your results).

 

 

 

Math HW discussion

Module 5 – Discussion: Formulating Research Questions

 
4949 unread replies.4949 replies.
m5_housing_categories.jpgThis activity is a lead-in to the course project that comes in Modules 8 and 9. You will be asked to do something similar to this in another upcoming discussion and then in the course project at the end of the course.

In a research project, the researcher normally has a research question in mind and then develops a research methodology that includes such things as determining the type of data that will be needed to address the question, how the data will be collected, and how the data will be analyzed. Due to time constraints, you will take a different approach to developing a research question. You will be given data that has already been collected and asked to develop a possible research question from the data.

For this discussion, open the StatCrunch file Housing_Prices_Categorical_Factors. The variables in the file are explained in the file description in StatCrunch. The following file tells you how to enroll in the course StatCrunch Group and retrieve group files. You will need to do that in order to view the Housing Prices file for this discussion activity.

Look at the description of the variables in the file and the variables themselves and develop a “research question” that might be interesting to explore using this data set. Some examples are:

  • Is there a difference in average selling price based on whether the house is on the water front or not?
  • Do new houses sell for more than old houses? NOTE: For something like this, you would have to define what you mean by new and old.

Develop your own research question and post it in the discussion. Be Creative! Don’t use one of the questions above and don’t use one someone else has already posted. Instead, try to find something that might be interesting to you. In addition to posting your question, also tell what method or methods you would use to answer your question (of those studied so far)

Mathw4

Week 4 Assignment
The application assessment consists of five short answer questions. All work must be neat, detailed and clearly labeled. Final answers should be identified by either circling or underlining. Submit your work to the appropriate drop box as a Microsoft Word or PDF document.

1.    Using the following pie chart determine:

a.    The percent of households not associated with renting.

b.    Assume that the pie chart is associated with 1,000 households. How many households would own a home?

s
   
                      

2.    The following are your weekly expenses for food items for the past 5 weeks:
                 
                   $119.62, $122.20, $193.40, $102.05 and $299.20.

      Determine the mean weekly expense.

3.    The table below shows the number of candles Stevie sold at her shop for the past year:

January           20        July                  30

February         45        August             137

March              35        September        49

April                63        October             60

May                42         November       109

June               98         December         85

a.    Determine the mean number of candles sold each month

b.    Determine the median number of candles sold.

4.    For a recent Math exam, the following scores were recorded:

               60, 82, 80, 70, 87, 60, 75, 95, 80, 80, 71.

   Determine:

      a.  What the median score is?

      b.  What the mode of this set of data is?

5.    Daily sales for The Smoothie Shop are: Monday $870, Tuesday $859, Wednesday $700, Thursday $2,050, Saturday $724. Determine the range of this set of data?

Hypothesis Tests for Two Samples- Powerpoint

You are a statistician working for a drug company. A few new scientists have been hired by your company. They are experts in pharmacology, but are not experts in doing statistical studies, so you will explain to them how statistical studies are done when testing two samples for the effectiveness of a new drug. The two samples can be dependent or independent, and you will explain the difference.

Concept being Studied

Your focus is on hypothesis tests and confidence intervals for two populations using two samples, some of which are independent and some of which are dependent. These concepts are an extension of hypothesis testing and confidence intervals which use statistics from one sample to make conclusions about population parameters.

What to Submit

To complete this assignment, you must first download the worksheet and then complete it.

You will also develop a PowerPoint presentation for the newly hired scientists on these topics, and you have been asked to provide two real-life examples that you will describe step-by-step. Your boss has asked you to include the following slides:

Slide 1: Title slide

Slide 2: Describes the two differences between independent and dependent samples

Slide 3: Provides an example of independent samples when testing a new drug

Slide 4: Shows how to set up a hypothesis test for two independent proportions: One to test whether they are equal and another one to test whether one proportion is larger than the other

Slide 5: Shows the formula for the test statistic for two independent proportions and lists what each variable in the formula represents

Slide 6: Shows the formula for the margin of error (E) when doing a confidence interval on two proportions and explains what each variable stands for

Slide 7: Other than proportions, describes what other types of hypothesis tests can be done for two independent samples

Slide 8: Provides an example of dependent samples (also known as matched pairs) when testing a new drug. The two samples should be a before and after test with the same group

Slide 9: Shows the t formula for the test statistic for matched pairs and explains what each variable represents

Slide 10: Show what a confidence interval for matched pairs would look like using only variables. Also, include the formula for the Margin of Error and state what each variable represents

To show the formulas above, you may need to use the following variables which you can copy from here:

x̅, p̂, q̂, p̅, q̅, d̅, ∑, μ, σ, σ2, α

bus math QRB501 wk1 qu-4

What is quantitative reasoning

Your amazing brain!

Class,

 

Many people envision something super complex when they hear the term “quantitative reasoning.”  However, you use it every day without even noticing!

 

Think about the times you have used quantitative reasoning in a typical day at work or at home.  Many times we use historical data (data that we have gathered from past experiences) to build mental models.  Here are some examples of ways that to use quantitative reasoning in a typical day:

1.  Creating my grocery list and buying groceries – This task requires A LOT of quantitative reasoning.  You have to estimate the amount of each item that you need for a given time.  You have to make sure the total of all items fit into your budget.  If you are a comparison shopper or a person who is taking advantage of sales, that requires quantitative reasoning as well.

2.  Estimating what time to leave your house to get to a certain location – If you’re like me and live in a city, this is a task that is performed several times a day at a minimum.  For me, I must consider the weather, road conditions, number of accidents, etc., to make my forecast.

3.  Hearing/reading/seeing the weather report – The weather report each day contains all kinds of quantitative information that must be interpreted so you will know how to dress, what activities might be appropriate for the day, and even how to operate a business.

4.  Setting a meeting – Each time you set a meeting, you must estimate how long the meeting will take.  This is how you know how much time to block off on your calendar at work.

 

Isn’t it amazing what your brain does?  Most of us don’t even notice that we are constantly making calculations in our heads about everything around us!

 

Think now…how do you use quantitative reasoning in a typical day?  

QUESTION 1 1. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question. Solve the problem. Round dollar amounts to the nearest dollar. Find the yearly straight-line depreciation of a home theatre system including the receiver,

QUESTION 1

1.Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question. Solve the problem. Round dollar amounts to the nearest dollar.

Find the yearly straight-line depreciation of a home theatre system including the receiver, main audio speakers, surround sound speakers, audio and video cables, and blue-ray player that costs $3100 and has a salvage value of $900 after an expected life of 5 years in a hotel lobby.

 

$900

$180

$440

$620

10 points   

QUESTION 2

1.Solve the problem. Round unit depreciation to nearest cent when making the schedule, and round final results to the nearest cent.

A barge is expected to be operational for 280,000 miles. If the boat costs $19,000.00 and has a projected salvage value of $1900.00, find the unit depreciation.

 

$0.06

$0.60

$0.70

$0.07 

10 points   

QUESTION 3

1.Solve the problem. Round unit depreciation to nearest cent when making the schedule, and round final results to the nearest cent.

A construction company purchased a piece of equipment for $1520. The expected life is 9000 hours, after which it will have a salvage value of $380. Find the amount of depreciation for the first year if the piece of equipment was used for 1800 hours. Use the units-of-production method of depreciation.

 

$177.33

$136.50

$304.00

$228.00

10 points   

QUESTION 4

1.Solve the problem using the information given in the table and the weighted-average inventory method. Round to the nearest cent.

Calculate the average unit cost.

Date of PurchaseUnits PurchasedCost Per Unit

Beginning Inventory25$32.12

March 170$25.24

June 165$36.24

August 140$20.81

$32.90

$143.95

$28.79

$24.77 

10 points   

QUESTION 5

1.Solve the problem using the information given in the table and the weighted-average inventory method. Round to the nearest cent.

Calculate the cost of ending inventory.

Date of PurchaseUnits PurchasedCost Per Unit

Beginning Inventory25$33.18

March 170$28.60

June 165$38.75

August 140$21.49

Units Sold68 

 

 

$1461.32

$3116.05

$4298.00

$4098.50

10 points   

QUESTION 6

1.Solve the problem using the information given in the table and the weighted-average inventory method. Round to the nearest cent.

Calculate the cost of goods sold.

Date of PurchaseUnits PurchasedCost Per Unit

Beginning Inventory25$34.13

March 170$27.34

June 165$35.61

August 140$20.77

Units Sold62 

 

 

$4079.63

$1832.87

$9992.13

$5912.50

10 points   

QUESTION 7

1.Solve the problem. Use a fraction for the rate and round dollar amounts to the nearest cent.

Jeremy James is depreciating solar panels purchased for $3600. The scrap value is estimated to be $900. He will use double-declining-balance and depreciate over 6 years. What is the first year’s depreciation?

 

$1200.00

$450.00

$600.00 

$900.00 

10 points   

QUESTION 8

1.Solve the problem. Use a fraction for the rate and round dollar amounts to the nearest cent.

Eric Johnson is depreciating a kitchen oven range purchased for $1720. The scrap value is estimated to be $172. He will use double-declining-balance and depreciate over 30 years. What is the first year’s depreciation?

 

$57.33

$103.20 

$51.60 

$114.67 

10 points   

QUESTION 9

1.Solve the problem. Use a fraction for the rate and round dollar amounts to the nearest cent.

Jane Frankis is depreciating a train engine purchased for $86,000. The scrap value is estimated to be $5000. She will use double-declining-balance and depreciate over 40 years. What is the first year’s depreciation?

 

$2025.00

$4050.00 

$4300.00 

$2150.00 

10 points   

QUESTION 10

1.Find the depreciation for the indicated year using MACRS cost-recovery rates for the properties placed in service at midyear. Round dollar amounts to the nearest cent.

 

Property ClassDepreciation YearCost of Property

3-year3$86,600.00

$28,863.78

 

 

Which of the following are used to test the statistical significance and explanatory power of all the independent

1. Which of the following are used to test for the statistical significance or explanatory power of an individual variable?
A) t-statistic
B) p-value
C) t-statistic and p-value
D) R-squared
E) F-statistic
F) R-squared and F-statistic

2. Which of the following are used to test the statistical significance and explanatory power of all the independent variables together (i.e., the explanatory power of the model)?
A) t-statistic
B) p-value
C) t-stastistic and p-value
D) R-squared
E) F-statistic
F) R-squared and F-statistic

3.Which should be used to determine if an individual variable should be added to the regression model?
A) Economic, business or physical theory.
B) The t-statistic and p-value of the variable coefficient.
C) The correlation with other variables included in the model.
D) All of the above.

4.Suppose you have a regression model that depicts the relationship between costs in dollars (C) and the machine hours(H) such that log(C) = 10 + 2(logH). Which of the following is the correct interpretation of the machine hours coefficient?
A) A 1 hour increase in machine use will increase costs by $2.
B) A 1 increase in costs will occur if there is a 2 hour increase in machine use.
C) A 1% increase in machine hours will increase costs 2%.
D) A 1% increase in costs will result from a 2% increase in machine hours.

5.Which of the following is NOT likely to occur when multicollinearity exists in a model?
A) Inflated Adjusted R-squared
B) High correlation between a pair or pairs of variables.
C) A variance inflation factor (VIF) > 5.
D) Theoretically important variables having coefficients that are statistically insignificant.

For this question, none of the options is right. (All the options are true in a model with multicollinearity)

8.2.1: An analyst is evaluating the demand for building and construction materials relative to the cost of borrowing or the mortgage rate in Los Angeles and San Francisco. He believes that the following model is appropriate: Y = 10 + 5X1 + 8X2, where Y is demand in $100 per capita; X1 is mortgage rate in %, and X2 equals 1 if SF, 0 if LA.

6.Given the information in 8.2.1, each additional increase of 1% in the mortgage rate will lead to an estimated average _________________ in demand for building materials, holding constant the effect of city.
A) Increase of $500 per capita.
B) Decrease of $500 per capita.
C) Increase of $5 per capita.
D) Decrease of $5 per capita.

7.Using the model in 8.2.1, the interpretation of the coefficient for X2 is: Holding constant the effect of mortgage rates,
A) Demand for building materials is $800 more per capita in SF than in LA.
B) Demand for building materials is $800 more per capita in LA than SF.
C) Demand for building materials is $8 more per capita in LA than in SF.
D) Demand for building materials is $8 more per capita in SF than in LA.

8.2.2: Advanced Technology Corporation (ATC) manufactures a home computer system and has hired a market research team to analyze the potential demand for this product using historical data on sales of similar products in 66 regions of the country in conjunction with information from consumer surveys. The research firm estimated the following demand function: Q = -36,000 – 10P + 2Px + 300I + 24A – 0.01Asquared, where Q=annual demand in units, P=price of ATC computer ($), Px=price of ATC major competitor computer ($), I = average family disposable income ($100), and A = advertising by ATC ($100).

8.Using situation 8.2.2, the correct interpretation of the coefficient for Px (i.e., +2) is:
A) An increase of computer sales of one unit will occur if there is a $2 increase in the price of the competitor’s computer holding constant P, I, and A.
B) An increase of computer sales of one unit will occur if there is a $200 increase in the price of the competitor computer, holding constant P, I, and A.
C) A $1 increase in the price of the competitor’s computer will increase ATC computer sales by 2 units, holding constant P, I, and A.
D) A $1 increase in the price of the competitor’s computer will increase ATC computer sales by 200 units, holding constant P, I and A.

9.Suppose you review the information in situation 8.2.2 and plan to test the explanatory power of: 1. the overall model and 2. a one-tail test of the individual coefficients, both at the .05 level of significance, then what critical values would you use for your tests? The first answer refers to tests for the model; the second answer refers to the test for the individual variable coefficient.
A) F=2.37 and t=1.671
B) t=1.671 and F=2.37.
C) F=2.25 and t=1.671
D) t=2.00 and F=2.37.

For this question, none of the options is right. (The correct answer is F = 2.52 and t = 1.671)

10.Using situation 8.2.2, what would happen to computer sales if ATC increased the advertising budget by $1000 (check units of measurement before you start to answer)?
A) Sales would increase by approximately 240 units.
B) Sales would increase by approximately 241 units.
C) Sales would increase by approximately 24,000 units.
D) Sales would increase by approximately 14,000 units.

Individual Assignment – Regression Case

Individual Assignment – Regression Case

 

The risk manager for Big Mac is undertaking a comprehensive analysis of the workers’ compensation injury claims for the firm’s U.S. operations. She has collected monthly data over the last three years with regard to workers’ compensation claims and several other items that she feels may be helpful in predicting future claims.

 

You are a consultant with a risk management consulting firm specializing in detailed quantitative analysis of problems facing corporate risk managers. Your firm has been retained by Big Mac to perform a comprehensive regression analysis of its workers’ compensation claims.

The data provided to you by Big Mac consists of the following information stored in the file data.XLS.

 

Variable Name Description of Variable

 

CLAIMS The number of workers’ compensation injury claims.

 

MALE The proportion of the work force that is male.

 

SAFETY The dollar amount of expenditures on safety programs in thousands.

 

SALES The dollar amount of gross sales in millions.

 

PARTTM The proportion of the work force that is part-time.

 

EMPLOYS The number of employees in thousands.

 

Before you start, please make sure you understand the underlying analytical techniques that you are using (regression analysis). In your written report, please address all of the following points and/or recommendations to the risk manager at Big Mac:

 

1. Before looking at the data, please use intuition to describe each variable’s probable predictive power and direction of relationship with CLAIMS.

 

2. Calculate and analyze the correlation matrix. Explain some of the more significant correlations between the independent variables and CLAIMS, as well as between the independent variables themselves. Please make sure to include in your report the correlation

table you obtain from Excel.

 

3. Perform a comprehensive regression analysis for CLAIMS. This includes calculation and analysis of coefficients, p-values (or t-values), coefficients of determination (R2), etc. Please make sure to include in your report the regression output from Excel including the following: Regression Statistics including R Square, Adjusted R Square, Standard Errors; as well as coefficient, standard error, p-value and t stat for all explanatory/independent variables.

 

4. Identify and describe the model (i.e., which independent variables should be included – a hint here, not all variables are necessarily needed, pending on statistical significance) that you feel best predicts CLAIMS. Justify the selection of this model from both conceptual and statistical viewpoints. This includes a statement of the identified model that a “non-statistician” could understand.

 

5. Is there an alternative model that is almost as good as your first choice as identified in your answer to number 4? If so, describe it.

 

 

6. State several managerial recommendations that you would make based on the model identified in number 4.

 

 

Assignment 4

Homework Assignment 4

 

Discuss one (1) project where you used a problem-solving approach to address what turned out to be common-cause variation, or where you used a process improvement approach to deal with a special cause.

 

If you do not have a personal experience that echoes either of these situations, you may use Internet to search for a case that reflects either of these situations.

 

Examples:

 

·         one’s personal investment strategy since 2008

 

·         reducing waiting times at the local hospital or emergency room

 

·         reducing difficulties trying to connect to a Wi-Fi Internet provider

 

 

 

Answer the following questions in the space provided below:

 

1.     Describe the experience in the project.

 

2.     What were the solutions used to address the problem?

 

3.     Was the case you described a special-cause or common-cause?

 

4.     Do you feel the solution or approach used appropriate for the cause?

 

5.     What would you do if you could do it again?

 

6.     What conclusions can you draw from the problem-solving or process-improvement techniques?

 

Note: You may create and / or make all necessary assumptions needed for the completion of this assignment. In your original work, you may use aspects of existing processes from either your current or a former place of employment. However, you must remove any and all identifying information that would enable someone to discern the organization(s) that you have used.